# Statistical Horizons Seminar: Applied Bayesian Data Analysis

## Events

A two-day seminar taught by Dr Shane Jensen

Bayesian modeling is a principled and powerful approach for the analysis of data. This seminar will develop sophisticated tools for probability modeling and data analysis from the Bayesian perspective. We will examine Bayesian inference and prediction for simple parametric models, regression models, hierarchical models and mixture models that span a wide variety of applied data settings. In each of these areas, we will compare and contrast the Bayesian and classical viewpoints for data analysis. We will develop a wide range of methods for model implementation, including optimization algorithms and Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation techniques. We will also examine strategies for model evaluation and validation.

COMPUTING

This seminar will use the R package for examples and exercises. R is free software, which can be downloaded at www.r-project.org. To optimally benefit from this seminar, you should bring a laptop computer running Windows or Mac OS X with R already installed. No previous knowledge or experience with R is needed. Power outlets will be provided at each seat.

Who should attend?

Course participants will have interest in applied data analysis as well as basic knowledge of principles for statistical inference and prediction. Participants should also have experience with basic probability topics, such as probability density functions, marginal and conditional probabilities, as well as transformation and simulation of random variables. We will be implementing our models using the statistical software package R, though prior experience with R is not required for the course.

Materials

Participants receive a bound manual containing detailed lecture notes (with equations and graphics) and many other useful features. This book frees participants from the distracting task of note taking.

Registration and lodging

The fee of $895.00 includes all seminar materials. The early registration fee of$795 is available until February 28.

Lodging Reservation Instructions

A block of guest rooms has been reserved at the Club Quarters Hotel, 1628 Chestnut Street, Philadelphia, PA at a special rate of \$142 per night. This location is about a 5 minute walk to the seminar location. In order to make reservations, call 203-905-2100 during business hours and identify yourself by using group code STA327. For guaranteed rate and availability, you must reserve your room no later than February 27, 2014.

SEMINAR OUTLINE

1. Basic Principles of Bayesian Inference (2 hours)

2. Simple Parametric Models (2 hours)

3. Regression Models (2 hours)

4. Optimization Techniques for Model Estimation (1 hour)

5. Mixture Models (2 hours)

6. Simulation Techniques for Model Estimation (1 hour)

7. Hierarchical Models (2 hours)

8. Model Validation (2 hour)

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